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Small Stocks - ASX Stock News, Discussion, Education & Tips
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Feature Article
100 Basis Point Interest Rate Cut - Hooray … Maybe »
By SmallStocks on Oct 7, 2008 in Featured | 0 Comments
Yes, I was right and maybe Glenn Stevens, the RBA Governor does read this blog. I stated at few days ago that the RBA needed a 50 basis point cut to the official cash interest rate “like yesterday” - and today the RBA have cut it by a full percentage point. The cut puts the official cash rate now at 6% - slashed from 7% and lowering the Australian lending rate from a 12-year high. This is great news for Australia and I would expect that within 2 years the RBA is going to cut official cash interests rates all the way down to 4.25%. This is simply because the cost of funding for banks at the moment is so ridiculously high.By slashing the interest by a full percentage point - the RBA is hoping to reduce pressure pressure on banks and ensure that they remain profitable throughout this period of market turmoil. The ASX was down in morning trading today but shot up very quickly after the news was released and now is again in the black. As I stated in my last post:Of course, the risk in all of this is that the Big Banks are not going to pass on any associated interest rate cut in order to sooth the pain of the huge losses from the USA market collapse, and the still very high funding costs. Unfortunately, this is not something that the market can directly control - other than to pressure the Federal Government to in turn, pressure the banks to fully pass on the cut.This is still true of course, and despite their mega billion dollar profits - the banks should still pass on at least 50 basis points, or 0.50% cut, to their lending rates in order to free up some consumer dollars and assist big business in their interest costs. The focus now, of course, is going to be on the Australia Dollar and its plummeting value - something I think the RBA is not really looking at, at the moment - but will have to be in the coming months and importers feel the pain and exporters get rich (although maybe not if they have locked in their contracts until March 2009). While the free up in interest repayments is good for consumers, the cost of living may be on the increase as importers start hiking the cost of their goods up in order to match any associated losses with higher import costs.I would watch this area closely. The Aussie dollar has taken a dive of more than 10 US cents in the past couple of trading days, was recently at 70.37 US cents, down from 71.97 just prior to the RBA’s shock move. Unless something changes in the market, I would think it’s going to go lower as other Asian countries start selling off the AUD because of future interest rate decreases. addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.smallstocks.com.au%2Ffeatured%2F100-basis-point-interest-rate-cut-hooray-mayb%2F'; addthis_title = '100+Basis+Point+Interest+Rate+Cut+-+Hooray+%26%238230%3B+Maybe'; addthis_pub = 'smallstocks';
Recent Articles
Small Stocks get a Big Brother (or Sister) Site »
By SmallStocks on Oct 6, 2008 in Website | 0 Comments
Yep, I have created a big brother (or sister to be gender impartial) site for Small Stocks that has more of an international focus. Small Stocks gets a lot of Australian readers but not really all that many international readers - primarily because the domain is associated with Australia so its not as easily searchable by International Visitors. The site is called “The Money Finance Expert” - www.moneyfinanceexpert.com - sort of strange name you might think initially, but trust me - it’s almost impossible to get a “dot-com” that has anything related to finance or money in the name and more so - I like to think of myself as an “expert” even if I’m not So put those words together and walaa!! - The Money Finance Expert is born.At the moment, the site has the same design and so forth as Small Stocks, but this is going to change slowly over the coming weeks when I get time to implement a new design on it. Basically, The Money Finance Expert is going to look at “saving money” more so than just a general analysis on the ASX Market. So this site will have more posts relating to reducing debt, managing credit, money saving tips, finance tips, strategies towards obtaining financial freedom and so forth. I created it basically to give me a different release and focus from the ASX and the ‘pure’ nature of stock trading.It’s not all that exciting at the moment, but rest assured that when I give it a new coat of paint - it will get there. I’ll drop an update post regarding this site when its ready For now, enjoy it as it is! The Money Finance Expert addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.smallstocks.com.au%2Fwebsite%2Fsmall-stocks-get-a-big-brother-sistersite%2F'; addthis_title = 'Small+Stocks+get+a+Big+Brother+%28or+Sister%29+Site'; addthis_pub = 'smallstocks';
A Quick Explanation of Market-to-Market »
By SmallStocks on Oct 5, 2008 in Investment | 0 Comments
I thought I would make a quick post just to explain the misconception of the term ‘market-to-market’ - which is really not a financial term - rather its ‘marked-to-market’. I have gotten a few emails of people asking me what exactly this means and whether I could provide a really simple explanation of this term.Typically, you see “marked to market” referring to a derivatives position or a margin lending facility. At the end of each trading day, each counter party exchanges the change in the market value of their position in cash. That is, each counter party is required to settle their obligations to ensure a “zero-net-game” exists. So “marking to market” typically occurs at the end of the trading day where an account has fallen below a given threshold and a broker requests from the client, via a margin call, that the client deposits more funds (or at worst, liquidates the account) in order to get the account back within the predefined “ratio limit”. i.e. the ratio limit is the amount a broker will allow for “fluctuations” in the market before instigating a margin call. Typically most brokers set this rate between 5% - 10% of the trade amount. So if you had a $10,000 margin loan set up, and the ratio limit before a margin call was instigated was at 10% - a value drop of more than $1000 would instigate a margin call and you would be required to top up the account.So really ‘marked-to-market’ means ensuring that the position you are in is “converted to the current market prices” and is a full reflection of the market on any given day at closing. addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.smallstocks.com.au%2Finvestment%2Fa-quick-explanation-of-market-to-market%2F'; addthis_title = 'A+Quick+Explanation+of+Market-to-Market'; addthis_pub = 'smallstocks';
Let the Pillage Begin »
By SmallStocks on Oct 1, 2008 in USA | 0 Comments
Marianne Moore, the famous American Poet, once famously wrote:“War is pillage versus resistance and if illusions of magnitude could be transmuted into ideals of magnanimity, peace might be realized.”This is exactly what happened on Wall St when the market opened this morning in New York, and what might happen if magnanimity was actually reached. As you would expect, the bargain-hunters are out in full force today as the market, once again, over-reacted to the news that a bailout wouldn’t occurr. How short sighted can Wall St be ? Of course a bailout is coming - both Congress and the World know that it must. I don’t even want to think about the alternative and I’ve already stated my reasons for Congresses short-sightedness.At the time of writing, the Dow Jones was up 284.76 points and the NASDAQ was up around 61.92. I don’t think that anyone is surprised that the market should (fingers crossed) remain up for the day. When $1.2 Trillion is wiped off the USA markets in a matter of hours, you would think that there are some real bargain trades to be made. If there are any Index traders reading out there, please let me know how you are trading on the swings - it’s either going to be a goldmine or a panic attack for you at the moment! Read the rest addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.smallstocks.com.au%2Fusa%2Flet-the-pillage-begin%2F'; addthis_title = 'Let+the+Pillage+Begin'; addthis_pub = 'smallstocks';
Australia needed a 50+ basis point interest rate cut yesterday »
By SmallStocks on Sep 30, 2008 in Economics | 0 Comments
With all the latest turmoil surrounding the markets, and a 207.9 point loss on the ASX today. I think it’s fair enough to say that the time has come for the Reserve Bank of Australia to take some drastic action when they meet for their October Board Meeting next week. The latest market data released today indicates that building approvals fell by 3.7% for August, primarily due to the finance and global economic slowdown making it less attractive for builders to enter the market. Approvals for private sector housing fell by 0.8% while approvals for apartments and “other dwellings” were down a whopping 7.8% (check out all the data here). To be honest, I am not exactly sure what the RBA is waiting for.The 12-month All Ords Chart shows a very bleak picture - down from 6,200 to 4,631.30 as of today. With consumer sentiment usually always being positively correlated to the overall stock market business cycle - one would suggest the RBA is still being far too cautionary with its reaction to the global economic woes. Retail sales have continued to slow and if you take out food sales, then retail sales actually fell by 0.5 per cent for August - a shocking result. Read the rest addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.smallstocks.com.au%2Feconomics%2Faustralia-needed-a-50-basis-point-interest-rate-cut-yesterday%2F'; addthis_title = 'Australia+needed+a+50%2B+basis+point+interest+rate+cut+yesterday'; addthis_pub = 'smallstocks';
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